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Result · Head to head

Abdullaev vs Agrba result

Sat, 10 Oct 2026, RCC Boxing Academy, Ekaterinburg, Russia

12 roundsLightweight
ZA
Zaur Abdullaev21-3-013 KO🇷🇺UnrankedVS
KA
Khariton Agrba18-1-02 KOUnranked

Result

Khariton Agrba beat Zaur Abdullaev by split decision.

The model had Zaur Abdullaev at 71% before the fight — an upset by the model’s numbers ✗

Ranking impact

Abdullaev 91.6 (P4P #104) → unranked

What the model predicted

Abdullaev 71%29% Agrba

Predicted: Abdullaev by decision · 48% inside the distance · one side unrated (default rating)

BOXINGRANK’s Glicko-2 model, from the last ratings published before fight day — a win probability, not bookmaker odds.

The pre-fight picture

Zaur Abdullaev and Khariton Agrba met at lightweight on Sat, 10 Oct 2026. BOXINGRANK's model had Abdullaev a clear favourite with a 71% win probability going in, leaving Agrba at 29%. Abdullaev has stopped 62% of the opponents beaten, and the model put the chance of a finish inside the distance at 48%. Abdullaev is ranked #104 pound-for-pound by our model. Abdullaev has a 2-inch reach advantage.

Recent form · going into the fight

Abdullaev

Agrba

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 48%
KO/TKO 48%Decision 52%

If it ends early — most likely round

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Of finishes, ~70% go to Abdullaev. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 3 — 2
21-3-0Record▸ 18-1-0
13 ◂KO wins2
62% ◂KO %11%
72" ◂Reach70"
5'9"Height▸ 5'10"
32Age—
orthodoxStancesouthpaw

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

FAQ

Who won Zaur Abdullaev vs Khariton Agrba?

Khariton Agrba beat Zaur Abdullaev by split decision on Sat, 10 Oct 2026. Before the fight, BOXINGRANK's model had Zaur Abdullaev as the favourite at 71%.

Who is the favourite in Zaur Abdullaev vs Khariton Agrba?

BOXINGRANK's model made Zaur Abdullaev the favourite with a 71% win probability (Khariton Agrba 29%). This is our rating model's estimate, not bookmaker odds.

What are Zaur Abdullaev and Khariton Agrba's records?

Zaur Abdullaev is 21-3-0 (wins-losses-draws) with 13 wins by knockout; Khariton Agrba is 18-1-0 with 2 knockout wins.