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Result · Head to head

Jr. vs Williams result

Fri, 4 Sept 2026, Prudential Center, Newark, New Jersey, U.S.

10 roundsSuper Welterweight
VM
Vito Mielnicki Jr.24-1-013 KOP4P #121VS
AW
Austin Williams20-3-012 KO🇺🇸Unranked

Result

Vito Mielnicki Jr. beat Austin Williams by unanimous decision.

The model had Austin Williams at 72% before the fight — an upset by the model’s numbers ✗

Ranking impact

Jr. unrated → 90.6 (P4P #121)

Williams 92.1 (P4P #96) → unranked

What the model predicted

Jr. 28%72% Williams

Predicted: Williams by decision · 46% inside the distance · one side unrated (default rating)

BOXINGRANK’s Glicko-2 model, from the last ratings published before fight day — a win probability, not bookmaker odds.

The pre-fight picture

Vito Mielnicki Jr. and Austin Williams met at super welterweight on Fri, 4 Sept 2026. Going in, the model rated Williams a 72% chance to win against Jr.'s 28%. With 12 knockout wins (60%) for Williams, the model gave this a 46% chance of ending early. Jr. came in on a 3-fight winning run. Jr. is 5 years younger than Williams.

Recent form · going into the fight

Jr.

Williams

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 46%
KO/TKO 46%Decision 54%

If it ends early — most likely round

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Of finishes, ~29% go to Jr.. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 7 — 3
90.6BOXINGRANK rating—
#121P4P rank—
24-1-0 ◂Record20-3-0
#12Division rank—
13 ◂KO wins12
54%KO %▸ 60%
70"Reach▸ 78"
6'0" ◂Height5'11"
24 ◂Age29
orthodoxStancesouthpaw

Punch stats

30%Accuracy25%
16.7Landed / round12.3
54.7Thrown / round48.4
45%Power share69%

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

FAQ

Who won Vito Mielnicki Jr. vs Austin Williams?

Vito Mielnicki Jr. beat Austin Williams by unanimous decision on Fri, 4 Sept 2026. Before the fight, BOXINGRANK's model had Austin Williams as the favourite at 72%.

Who is the favourite in Vito Mielnicki Jr. vs Austin Williams?

BOXINGRANK's model made Austin Williams the favourite with a 72% win probability (Vito Mielnicki Jr. 28%). This is our rating model's estimate, not bookmaker odds.

What are Vito Mielnicki Jr. and Austin Williams's records?

Vito Mielnicki Jr. is 24-1-0 (wins-losses-draws) with 13 wins by knockout; Austin Williams is 20-3-0 with 12 knockout wins.