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Result · Head to head

Inoue vs Nasukawa result

Sun, 27 Sept 2026, Toyota Arena Tokyo, Tokyo, Japan

12 roundsBantamweight
TI
Takuma Inoue23-2-05 KO🇯🇵P4P #69VS
TN
Tenshin Nasukawa7-2-03 KO🇯🇵P4P #280

Result

Takuma Inoue beat Tenshin Nasukawa by unanimous decision.

The model had Tenshin Nasukawa at 54% before the fight — an upset by the model’s numbers ✗

Ranking impact

Inoue 91.7 (P4P #102) → 93.8 (P4P #69) +2.1

Nasukawa 92.1 (P4P #95) → 83.0 (P4P #280) -9.1

What the model predicted

Inoue 46%54% Nasukawa

Predicted: Nasukawa by decision · 27% inside the distance

BOXINGRANK’s Glicko-2 model, from the last ratings published before fight day — a win probability, not bookmaker odds.

The pre-fight picture

Takuma Inoue faced Tenshin Nasukawa at bantamweight on Sun, 27 Sept 2026. BOXINGRANK's model had Nasukawa a slight favourite with a 54% win probability going in, leaving Inoue at 46%. With 3 knockout wins (43%) for Nasukawa, the model gave this a 27% chance of ending early. They have met before — Inoue won in 2025 by UD. Nasukawa has a 6-inch reach advantage.

Recent form · going into the fight

Inoue

Nasukawa

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 27%
KO/TKO 27%Decision 73%

If it ends early — most likely round

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Of finishes, ~47% go to Inoue. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 5 — 4
93.8 ◂BOXINGRANK rating83.0
#69 ◂P4P rank#280
23-2-0 ◂Record7-2-0
#1 ◂Division rank#12
5 ◂KO wins3
22%KO %▸ 43%
64"Reach▸ 70"
5'4"Height▸ 5'5"
30Age▸ 26
orthodoxStancesouthpaw

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

FAQ

Who won Takuma Inoue vs Tenshin Nasukawa?

Takuma Inoue beat Tenshin Nasukawa by unanimous decision on Sun, 27 Sept 2026. Before the fight, BOXINGRANK's model had Tenshin Nasukawa as the favourite at 54%.

Who is the favourite in Takuma Inoue vs Tenshin Nasukawa?

BOXINGRANK's model made Tenshin Nasukawa the favourite with a 54% win probability (Takuma Inoue 46%). This is our rating model's estimate, not bookmaker odds.

What are Takuma Inoue and Tenshin Nasukawa's records?

Takuma Inoue is 23-2-0 (wins-losses-draws) with 5 wins by knockout; Tenshin Nasukawa is 7-2-0 with 3 knockout wins.