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Result · Head to head

Goodman vs Nishida result

Sun, 27 Sept 2026, Toyota Arena, Tokyo, Japan

12 roundsSuper Bantamweight
SG
Sam Goodman23-1-08 KO🇦🇺P4P #99VS
RN
Ryosuke Nishida11-2-01 KO🇯🇵Unranked

Result

Sam Goodman beat Ryosuke Nishida by unanimous decision.

The model had Sam Goodman at 55% before the fight — it called it ✓

Ranking impact

Goodman 91.1 (P4P #111) → 92.0 (P4P #99) +0.9

Nishida 85.6 (P4P #220) → unranked

What the model predicted

Goodman 55%45% Nishida

Predicted: Goodman by decision · 22% inside the distance

BOXINGRANK’s Glicko-2 model, from the last ratings published before fight day — a win probability, not bookmaker odds.

The pre-fight picture

Sam Goodman and Ryosuke Nishida met at super bantamweight on Sun, 27 Sept 2026. Going in, the model rated Goodman a 55% chance to win against Nishida's 45%. Goodman has stopped 35% of the opponents beaten, and the model put the chance of a finish inside the distance at 22%. Both are in our pound-for-pound list: Goodman at #111, Nishida at #220. Nishida has a 2-inch reach advantage.

Recent form · going into the fight

Goodman

Nishida

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 23%
KO/TKO 23%Decision 77%

If it ends early — most likely round

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Of finishes, ~55% go to Goodman. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 7 — 3
92.0BOXINGRANK rating—
#99P4P rank—
23-1-0 ◂Record11-2-0
#4Division rank—
8 ◂KO wins1
35% ◂KO %9%
67"Reach▸ 68"
5'7"Height▸ 5'7"
28 ◂Age30
orthodoxStancesouthpaw

Punch stats

41%Accuracy27%
18.5Landed / round7.7
45.8Thrown / round28
60%Power share85%

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

FAQ

Who won Sam Goodman vs Ryosuke Nishida?

Sam Goodman beat Ryosuke Nishida by unanimous decision on Sun, 27 Sept 2026. Before the fight, BOXINGRANK's model had Sam Goodman as the favourite at 55%.

Who is the favourite in Sam Goodman vs Ryosuke Nishida?

BOXINGRANK's model made Sam Goodman the favourite with a 55% win probability (Ryosuke Nishida 45%). This is our rating model's estimate, not bookmaker odds.

What are Sam Goodman and Ryosuke Nishida's records?

Sam Goodman is 23-1-0 (wins-losses-draws) with 8 wins by knockout; Ryosuke Nishida is 11-2-0 with 1 knockout wins.