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Result · Head to head

Garcia vs Benn result

Sat, 12 Sept 2026, T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.

12 roundsSuper Lightweight
Ryan GarciaRyan Garcia26-2-021 KO🇺🇸P4P #31VSConor BennConor Benn25-2-014 KO🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿P4P #141

Result

Ryan Garcia beat Conor Benn by TKO in round 2.

The model had Conor Benn at 54% before the fight — an upset by the model’s numbers ✗

Ranking impact

Garcia 94.5 (P4P #54) → 96.5 (P4P #31) +2.0

Benn 93.5 (P4P #74) → 89.6 (P4P #141) -3.9

What the model predicted

Garcia 46%54% Benn

Predicted: Benn by decision · 35% inside the distance

BOXINGRANK’s Glicko-2 model, from the last ratings published before fight day — a win probability, not bookmaker odds.

The pre-fight picture

Ryan Garcia faced Conor Benn at super lightweight on Sat, 12 Sept 2026. BOXINGRANK's model had Benn a slight favourite with a 54% win probability going in, leaving Garcia at 46%. With 21 knockout wins (81%) for Garcia, the model gave this a 35% chance of ending early. Garcia had lost 2 of the last 5 going in. Garcia has a 2-inch reach advantage.

Recent form · going into the fight

Garcia

Benn

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 36%
KO/TKO 36%Decision 64%

If it ends early — most likely round

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Of finishes, ~47% go to Garcia. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 10 — 3
96.5 ◂BOXINGRANK rating89.6
#31 ◂P4P rank#141
26-2-0 ◂Record25-2-0
#5 ◂Division rank#7
21 ◂KO wins14
81% ◂KO %56%
70" ◂Reach68"
5'10" ◂Height5'8"
28 ◂Age30
orthodoxStanceorthodox

Punch stats

32%Accuracy31%
7.2Landed / round13.5
22.4Thrown / round44
35%Power share70%

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

FAQ

Who won Ryan Garcia vs Conor Benn?

Ryan Garcia beat Conor Benn by TKO in round 2 on Sat, 12 Sept 2026. Before the fight, BOXINGRANK's model had Conor Benn as the favourite at 54%.

Who is the favourite in Ryan Garcia vs Conor Benn?

BOXINGRANK's model made Conor Benn the favourite with a 54% win probability (Ryan Garcia 46%). This is our rating model's estimate, not bookmaker odds.

What are Ryan Garcia and Conor Benn's records?

Ryan Garcia is 26-2-0 (wins-losses-draws) with 21 wins by knockout; Conor Benn is 25-2-0 with 14 knockout wins.