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Result · Head to head

Cardenas vs Carrillo result

Sat, 29 Aug 2026, USC Galen Center, Los Angeles, California, US

10 roundsSuper Bantamweight
RC
Ramon Cardenas28-2-015 KO🇺🇸P4P #67VS
LC
Leonardo Carrillo20-2-1Unranked

Result

Ramon Cardenas beat Leonardo Carrillo by split decision.

The model had Ramon Cardenas at 70% before the fight — it called it ✓

Ranking impact

Cardenas 92.5 (P4P #88) → 93.9 (P4P #67) +1.4

What the model predicted

Cardenas 70%30% Carrillo

Predicted: Cardenas by decision · 41% inside the distance · one side unrated (default rating)

BOXINGRANK’s Glicko-2 model, from the last ratings published before fight day — a win probability, not bookmaker odds.

The pre-fight picture

Ramon Cardenas faced Leonardo Carrillo at super bantamweight on Sat, 29 Aug 2026. Going in, the model rated Cardenas a 70% chance to win against Carrillo's 30%. With 15 knockout wins (54%) for Cardenas, the model gave this a 41% chance of ending early. Cardenas is ranked #88 pound-for-pound by our model.

Recent form · going into the fight

Cardenas

Carrillo

No earlier bouts on record.

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 42%
KO/TKO 42%Decision 58%

If it ends early — most likely round

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Of finishes, ~71% go to Cardenas. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 3 — 0
93.9BOXINGRANK rating—
#67P4P rank—
28-2-0 ◂Record20-2-1
#3Division rank—
15 ◂KO wins0
54% ◂KO %0%
5'5"Height—
30Age—
orthodoxStance—

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

FAQ

Who won Ramon Cardenas vs Leonardo Carrillo?

Ramon Cardenas beat Leonardo Carrillo by split decision on Sat, 29 Aug 2026. Before the fight, BOXINGRANK's model had Ramon Cardenas as the favourite at 70%.

Who is the favourite in Ramon Cardenas vs Leonardo Carrillo?

BOXINGRANK's model made Ramon Cardenas the favourite with a 70% win probability (Leonardo Carrillo 30%). This is our rating model's estimate, not bookmaker odds.

What are Ramon Cardenas and Leonardo Carrillo's records?

Ramon Cardenas is 28-2-0 (wins-losses-draws) with 15 wins by knockout; Leonardo Carrillo is 20-2-1 with 0 knockout wins.