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Result · Head to head

Davies vs Collins result

Sat, 26 Sept 2026, bp pulse LIVE, Birmingham, England

12 roundsSuper Bantamweight
LD
Liam Davies19-1-010 KO🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿P4P #101
VS
NC
Nathaniel Collins17-1-11 KOUnranked

Result

Liam Davies beat Nathaniel Collins by corner retirement in round 7.

The model had Liam Davies at 70% before the fight — it called it ✓

Ranking impact

Davies 91.5 (P4P #103) → 91.8 (P4P #101) +0.3

What the model predicted

Davies 70%30% Collins

Predicted: Davies by decision · 40% inside the distance · one side unrated (default rating)

BOXINGRANK’s Glicko-2 model, from the last ratings published before fight day — a win probability, not bookmaker odds.

The pre-fight picture

Liam Davies and Nathaniel Collins met at super bantamweight on Sat, 26 Sept 2026. Going in, the model rated Davies a 70% chance to win against Collins's 30%. With 10 knockout wins (53%) for Davies, the model gave this a 40% chance of ending early. Davies is ranked #103 pound-for-pound by our model.

Recent form · going into the fight

Davies

Collins

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 40%
KO/TKO 40%Decision 60%

If it ends early — most likely round

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Of finishes, ~69% go to Davies. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 6 — 2
91.8BOXINGRANK rating—
#101P4P rank—
19-1-0 ◂Record17-1-1
#5Division rank—
10 ◂KO wins1
53% ◂KO %6%
72"Reach—
5'10" ◂Height5'6"
30Age▸ 28
orthodoxStancesouthpaw

Punch stats

25%Accuracy30%
13.4Landed / round10.6
53.5Thrown / round35.9
71%Power share71%

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

FAQ

Who won Liam Davies vs Nathaniel Collins?

Liam Davies beat Nathaniel Collins by corner retirement in round 7 on Sat, 26 Sept 2026. Before the fight, BOXINGRANK's model had Liam Davies as the favourite at 70%.

Who is the favourite in Liam Davies vs Nathaniel Collins?

BOXINGRANK's model made Liam Davies the favourite with a 70% win probability (Nathaniel Collins 30%). This is our rating model's estimate, not bookmaker odds.

What are Liam Davies and Nathaniel Collins's records?

Liam Davies is 19-1-0 (wins-losses-draws) with 10 wins by knockout; Nathaniel Collins is 17-1-1 with 1 knockout wins.