Result · Head to head
Davies vs Collins result
Sat, 26 Sept 2026, bp pulse LIVE, Birmingham, England
Result
Liam Davies beat Nathaniel Collins by corner retirement in round 7.
The model had Liam Davies at 70% before the fight — it called it ✓
Ranking impact
Davies 91.5 (P4P #103) → 91.8 (P4P #101) +0.3
What the model predicted
Predicted: Davies by decision · 40% inside the distance · one side unrated (default rating)
BOXINGRANK’s Glicko-2 model, from the last ratings published before fight day — a win probability, not bookmaker odds.
The pre-fight picture
Liam Davies and Nathaniel Collins met at super bantamweight on Sat, 26 Sept 2026. Going in, the model rated Davies a 70% chance to win against Collins's 30%. With 10 knockout wins (53%) for Davies, the model gave this a 40% chance of ending early. Davies is ranked #103 pound-for-pound by our model.
Recent form · going into the fight
Davies
- WFrancesco GrandelliTKO 2026
- WKurt WalkerUD 2025
- LShabaz MasoudSD 2024
- WErik RoblesTKO 2024
- WVincenzo La FeminaTKO 2023
Collins
- LCristobal LorenteSD 2026
- DCristobal LorenteD 2025
- WLee McGregorTKO 2025
- WMillerMD 2023
Simulate the fight
Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.
One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.
How it ends · 10,000 sims
inside the distance 40%If it ends early — most likely round
Of finishes, ~69% go to Davies. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.
Tale of the tape
edges 6 — 2Punch stats
Common opponents · 0
No shared opponents in the data.
FAQ
Who won Liam Davies vs Nathaniel Collins?
Liam Davies beat Nathaniel Collins by corner retirement in round 7 on Sat, 26 Sept 2026. Before the fight, BOXINGRANK's model had Liam Davies as the favourite at 70%.
Who is the favourite in Liam Davies vs Nathaniel Collins?
BOXINGRANK's model made Liam Davies the favourite with a 70% win probability (Nathaniel Collins 30%). This is our rating model's estimate, not bookmaker odds.
What are Liam Davies and Nathaniel Collins's records?
Liam Davies is 19-1-0 (wins-losses-draws) with 10 wins by knockout; Nathaniel Collins is 17-1-1 with 1 knockout wins.