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Result · Head to head

Jr. vs Troncoso result

Sat, 12 Sept 2026, Puebla, Gimnasio Miguel Hidalgo, Mexico

10 roundsCruiserweight
Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.Julio Cesar Chavez Jr.57-7-137 KO🇲🇽P4P #98VS
JT
Jeison Troncoso13-4-0Unranked

Result

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. beat Jeison Troncoso by knockout in round 1.

The model had Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. at 64% before the fight — it called it ✓

Ranking impact

Jr. 90.6 (P4P #126) → 92.0 (P4P #98) +1.4

What the model predicted

Jr. 64%36% Troncoso

Predicted: Jr. by decision · 46% inside the distance · one side unrated (default rating)

BOXINGRANK’s Glicko-2 model, from the last ratings published before fight day — a win probability, not bookmaker odds.

The pre-fight picture

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. faced Jeison Troncoso at cruiserweight on Sat, 12 Sept 2026. BOXINGRANK's model had Jr. the favourite with a 64% win probability going in, leaving Troncoso at 36%. Jr. has stopped 65% of the opponents beaten, and the model put the chance of a finish inside the distance at 46%. Jr. is ranked #126 pound-for-pound by our model.

Recent form · going into the fight

Jr.

Troncoso

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 46%
KO/TKO 46%Decision 54%

If it ends early — most likely round

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Of finishes, ~63% go to Jr.. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 3 — 0
92.0BOXINGRANK rating—
#98P4P rank—
57-7-1 ◂Record13-4-0
#6Division rank—
37 ◂KO wins0
65% ◂KO %0%
73"Reach—
6'1"Height—
40Age—
orthodoxStance—

Common opponents · 0

No shared opponents in the data.

FAQ

Who won Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. vs Jeison Troncoso?

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. beat Jeison Troncoso by knockout in round 1 on Sat, 12 Sept 2026. Before the fight, BOXINGRANK's model had Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. as the favourite at 64%.

Who is the favourite in Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. vs Jeison Troncoso?

BOXINGRANK's model made Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. the favourite with a 64% win probability (Jeison Troncoso 36%). This is our rating model's estimate, not bookmaker odds.

What are Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. and Jeison Troncoso's records?

Julio Cesar Chavez Jr. is 57-7-1 (wins-losses-draws) with 37 wins by knockout; Jeison Troncoso is 13-4-0 with 0 knockout wins.