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Result · Head to head

Opetaia vs Mikaelyan result

Sat, 12 Sept 2026, T-Mobile Arena, Paradise, Nevada, U.S.

12 roundsCruiserweight
JO
Jai Opetaia31-0-024 KO🇦🇺P4P #49VS
NM
Noel Mikaelyan28-4-02 KOUnranked

Result

Jai Opetaia beat Noel Mikaelyan by TKO in round 9.

The model had Jai Opetaia at 75% before the fight — it called it ✓

Ranking impact

Opetaia 95.3 (P4P #47) → 95.5 (P4P #49) +0.2

What the model predicted

Opetaia 75%25% Mikaelyan

Predicted: Opetaia by KO/TKO · 62% inside the distance · one side unrated (default rating)

BOXINGRANK’s Glicko-2 model, from the last ratings published before fight day — a win probability, not bookmaker odds.

The pre-fight picture

Jai Opetaia faced Noel Mikaelyan at cruiserweight on Sat, 12 Sept 2026. Going in, the model rated Opetaia a 75% chance to win against Mikaelyan's 25%. Opetaia has stopped 77% of the opponents beaten, and the model put the chance of a finish inside the distance at 62%. Opetaia came in on a 5-fight winning run. They share 1 common opponent — results below.

Recent form · going into the fight

Opetaia

Mikaelyan

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 62%
KO/TKO 62%Decision 38%

If it ends early — most likely round

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Of finishes, ~74% go to Opetaia. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 5 — 1
95.5BOXINGRANK rating—
#49P4P rank—
31-0-0 ◂Record28-4-0
#3Division rank—
24 ◂KO wins2
77% ◂KO %7%
76" ◂Reach75"
6'2"Height▸ 6'2"
31 ◂Age34
southpawStanceorthodox

Common opponents · 1

W UDMairis BriedisL UD

FAQ

Who won Jai Opetaia vs Noel Mikaelyan?

Jai Opetaia beat Noel Mikaelyan by TKO in round 9 on Sat, 12 Sept 2026. Before the fight, BOXINGRANK's model had Jai Opetaia as the favourite at 75%.

Who is the favourite in Jai Opetaia vs Noel Mikaelyan?

BOXINGRANK's model made Jai Opetaia the favourite with a 75% win probability (Noel Mikaelyan 25%). This is our rating model's estimate, not bookmaker odds.

What are Jai Opetaia and Noel Mikaelyan's records?

Jai Opetaia is 31-0-0 (wins-losses-draws) with 24 wins by knockout; Noel Mikaelyan is 28-4-0 with 2 knockout wins.