← Events

Result · Head to head

Hrgovic vs Itauma result

Sat, 29 Aug 2026, The O2 Arena, London, England

12 roundsHeavyweight
Filip HrgovicFilip Hrgovic21-1-016 KO🇭🇷P4P #54VS
MI
Moses Itauma14-1-012 KO🏴󠁧󠁢󠁥󠁮󠁧󠁿Unranked

Result

Filip Hrgovic beat Moses Itauma by TKO in round 9.

The model had Filip Hrgovic at 52% before the fight — it called it ✓

Ranking impact

Hrgovic 94.3 (P4P #56) → 94.7 (P4P #54) +0.4

Itauma 93.3 (P4P #78) → unranked

What the model predicted

Hrgovic 52%48% Itauma

Predicted: Hrgovic by decision · 47% inside the distance

BOXINGRANK’s Glicko-2 model, from the last ratings published before fight day — a win probability, not bookmaker odds.

The pre-fight picture

Filip Hrgovic faced Moses Itauma at heavyweight on Sat, 29 Aug 2026. Before the fight, the BOXINGRANK model saw it as close to a coin flip: Hrgovic 52%, Itauma 48%. Itauma has stopped 86% of the opponents beaten, and the model put the chance of a finish inside the distance at 47%. Itauma had won 5 straight going in. Hrgovic has a 3-inch reach advantage.

Recent form · going into the fight

Hrgovic

Itauma

Simulate the fight

Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.

One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.

How it ends · 10,000 sims

inside the distance 47%
KO/TKO 47%Decision 53%

If it ends early — most likely round

1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12

Of finishes, ~54% go to Hrgovic. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.

Tale of the tape

edges 7 — 2
94.7BOXINGRANK rating—
#54P4P rank—
21-1-0 ◂Record14-1-0
#10Division rank—
16 ◂KO wins12
76%KO %▸ 86%
82" ◂Reach79"
6'6"Height6'6"
34Age▸ 20
orthodoxStancesouthpaw

Punch stats

45%Accuracy37%
16.7Landed / round3.4
37.1Thrown / round9.2
77%Power share69%

Common opponents · 1

W TKODemsey McKeanW TKO

FAQ

Who won Filip Hrgovic vs Moses Itauma?

Filip Hrgovic beat Moses Itauma by TKO in round 9 on Sat, 29 Aug 2026. Before the fight, BOXINGRANK's model had Filip Hrgovic as the favourite at 52%.

Who is the favourite in Filip Hrgovic vs Moses Itauma?

BOXINGRANK's model made Filip Hrgovic the favourite with a 52% win probability (Moses Itauma 48%). This is our rating model's estimate, not bookmaker odds.

What are Filip Hrgovic and Moses Itauma's records?

Filip Hrgovic is 21-1-0 (wins-losses-draws) with 16 wins by knockout; Moses Itauma is 14-1-0 with 12 knockout wins.