Head to Head
Fight Predictor
Pick any two boxers — model win probability, Top-Trumps tale of the tape, punch-stat comparison, and common opponents. Our own number, not bookmaker odds.
Christian MbilliCanelo Alvarez
Out of 50 fights, the model gives Christian Mbilli ~17 and Canelo Alvarez ~33.
Simulate the fight
Press Run a sim to play one outcome round-by-round, with a live scorecard. Each run is different.
One random run with a live scorecard — for fun. The stable prediction is the panel above.
How it ends · 10,000 sims
inside the distance 45%KO/TKO 45%Decision 55%
If it ends early — most likely round
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Of finishes, ~35% go to Mbilli. Win probability is shown above. For analysis, not betting.
Tale of the tape
edges 8 — 594.2BOXINGRANK rating▸ 96.3
#60P4P rank▸ #33
29-0-1 ◂Record63-3-2
#8Division rank▸ #3
24KO wins▸ 39
83% ◂KO %62%
72" ◂Reach70"
5'9"Height▸ 5'9"
31 ◂Age36
orthodoxStanceorthodox
Punch stats
34%Accuracy25%
13.1Landed / round7.1
38.1Thrown / round28.6
93%Power share69%
Common opponents · 0
No shared opponents in the data.